AI + Prediction Markets = The Future? How Web3 Is Tokenizing the Information Age

·

In 1971, psychologist and economist Herbert A. Simon introduced the concept of attention economy, arguing that in an era of information overload, human attention has become the most scarce resource. This idea has only grown more relevant in today’s digital landscape.

Albert Wenger, economist and managing partner at USV, expanded on this in The World After Capital, describing a pivotal shift in human civilization: from the industrial age’s capital scarcity to the knowledge age’s attention scarcity.

This transformation is driven by two key traits of digital technology: near-zero marginal cost of information replication and the ubiquity of AI computing—while human attention remains finite and non-replicable.

From Labubu's viral success in the collectibles market to top streamers dominating live commerce, the core battle is for user attention. Yet in traditional attention economies, users—who generate data and engagement—are rarely rewarded. Instead, platforms and intermediaries capture most of the value.

Enter InfoFi (Information + Finance), a Web3 innovation leveraging blockchain, token incentives, and AI to democratize information value. By making information production, distribution, and consumption transparent and rewarding contributors directly, InfoFi aims to rebalance the scales.

This article explores the categories of InfoFi, its challenges, and emerging trends shaping its future.


What Is InfoFi?

InfoFi merges information and finance, transforming abstract, hard-to-measure concepts—like attention, reputation, insights, and narrative momentum—into quantifiable, tradable digital assets. It goes beyond traditional prediction markets to include social influence, user-generated intelligence, and real-time sentiment tracking.

Key Advantages of InfoFi


Categories of InfoFi

Prediction Markets

Prediction markets use collective intelligence to forecast future events—from elections to product launches. Participants buy shares tied to outcomes; market prices reflect group expectations. These aren’t just gambling tools—they’re mechanisms for surfacing truth through financial incentives.

Vitalik Buterin has long championed prediction markets. In his 2024 essay "From Prediction Markets to Info Finance," he described them as tools with transformative potential across media, science, and governance. He noted Polymarket’s dual nature: a betting site for users, a real-time news source for observers.

Elon Musk echoed this sentiment before the 2024 U.S. election, sharing Polymarket data showing Trump leading 51%, stating: “With real money on the line, this is more accurate than polls.”

Leading Platforms

👉 Discover how decentralized prediction markets are reshaping truth discovery


Yap-to-Earn (a.k.a. "Mouth Mining")

“Yap-to-Earn” is a playful term for earning tokens by sharing insights on social platforms—especially X (Twitter). Unlike traditional Web3 actions (staking, trading), it rewards information contribution.

AI algorithms assess content quality, depth, engagement, and originality to distribute points or future token airdrops.

Key Features

Notable Projects


Multi-Dimensional Contribution Models

Some platforms combine content creation with on-chain actions or tasks to assess holistic user value.


Reputation-Based InfoFi

Reputation is a powerful but under-monetized asset. These protocols tokenize credibility.


Attention & Trend Markets

These platforms let users bet on or profit from attention trends.


Token-Gated Content Access

Filters noise by requiring ownership of a token to access premium content.


Data Intelligence Platforms


Challenges Facing InfoFi

Prediction Markets

Yap-to-Earn Issues

Reputation Systems


Emerging Trends in InfoFi

AI + Prediction Markets

AI enhances forecasting by analyzing vast datasets and simulating outcomes. It may also deploy autonomous agents to solve long-tail liquidity issues.

👉 See how AI agents are transforming market prediction accuracy


Social + Prediction Integration

X’s June 2025 partnership with Polymarket marks a turning point. By combining Grok’s analytics with real-time X data, users gain instant, context-rich insights—potentially making prediction markets a core layer of future information infrastructure.


Futarchy & Governance

Vitalik supports Futarchy—a governance model where “vote on values, bet on beliefs.” Communities set success metrics; prediction markets decide policy effectiveness. This data-driven approach reduces bias and rhetoric in decision-making.


Evolution of Yap-to-Earn + Reputation

Future developments include:

Reputation scores could soon underpin DeFi lending and staking—acting as creditworthiness indicators.


Data + Creator Insights Fusion

Next-gen platforms will merge analytics dashboards with AI interpretation—and reward users for contributing insights or distributing valuable data.

👉 Explore how tokenized attention is redefining digital influence


Conclusion: The Path Forward for InfoFi

The core tension of the digital age is clear: those who create attention rarely capture its value. InfoFi seeks to correct this imbalance by tokenizing information flows and redistributing value fairly.

But success hinges on balancing three pillars:

  1. Information discovery
  2. User participation
  3. Value return

Without thoughtful mechanism design, InfoFi risks repeating SocialFi’s boom-and-bust cycle—dominated by speculation over substance.

The goal isn’t just to monetize attention, but to build a more transparent, equitable knowledge economy. With AI amplification and blockchain accountability, Web3 has the tools to make it happen—if it prioritizes inclusivity over extraction.

The future of information isn’t just about who speaks loudest—it’s about who contributes meaningfully.


Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

Q: What is InfoFi?
A: InfoFi (Information + Finance) uses blockchain and token incentives to turn abstract information—like attention, reputation, or insights—into measurable, tradable assets.

Q: How does Yap-to-Earn work?
A: Users earn points or tokens by posting insightful content on social platforms like X. AI evaluates quality, engagement, and depth to distribute rewards.

Q: Are prediction markets legal?
A: It depends on jurisdiction. Platforms like Kalshi comply with U.S. regulations (CFTC), while others like Polymarket face restrictions due to unregistered operations.

Q: Can reputation be tokenized?
A: Yes—projects like Ethos and GiveRep convert social credibility into quantifiable scores using on-chain and social data.

Q: Why is AI important in InfoFi?
A: AI improves content evaluation, detects spam, enhances prediction accuracy, and enables autonomous agents to boost market efficiency.

Q: Is InfoFi just hype or does it have real utility?
A: While speculative activity exists, InfoFi enables real use cases—better forecasting, fairer creator rewards, decentralized intelligence markets—and could reshape how we value information online.


Core Keywords: InfoFi, prediction markets, Yap-to-Earn, tokenized attention, Web3 finance, AI in blockchain, decentralized reputation